Weekend
Dispatch 9th-10th September 2006
SPEECH
BY ALBAN MAGINNESS MLA
BRITISH
IRISH ASSOCIATION
9
SEPTEMBER 2006
I would like to thank the British Irish Association for inviting
me and representatives of the other Northern Ireland parties here
today.
We
meet at a time when the stakes could not be higher. As we approach
the November 25 deadline we face a choice of two futures.
On
the one hand, if, by the deadline, we achieve the restoration
of the Good Friday Agreement’s institutions, we will be
setting out towards reconciliation and a shared society. We will
have all the politicians of all the people of the North working
together on bread and butter issues, in partnership with the Government
of the South through the North South Ministerial Council.
If,
on the other hand, we fail to achieve restoration, the prospects
are grim.
It’s
hardly just that 108 Assembly members and their staffs will lose
their jobs. That may be hard for us, but it’s not what really
matters.
What
matters is that our economy will suffer as investors are deterred
by the failure of our politicians to work together to achieve
real stability.
What
matters is that our society will suffer. After all, if politicians
do not share power together, what chance is there of getting people
to share society together.
What
matters is that our governance will suffer as the North languishes
under continued direct rule – with largely absentee ministers
who are in reality accountable to nobody.
And
instead of the Agreement approved by the people of Ireland, the
North’s only democratic structures may be the seven supercouncils,
devised by these direct rulers. The supercouncils will carve up
the North into big sectarian blocks, back to back with dominant
majorities, outvoted minorities and, as of yet, not a single concrete
power sharing guarantee.
So
much for a shared future.
The
problem is that while this scenario is grim for the people of
the North, it may well suit both Sinn Fein and the DUP.
After
all, the DUP could turn around on 25 November and try to say that
the Agreement is dead. And with 9 MPs to the UUP’s one -
thanks to the dangerously polarising Westminster electoral system
- they believe that the winding up of the Assembly – elected
by PR – will reinforce their dominance within unionism.
As
for Sinn Fein, the winding up of the North’s institutions
may well suit them – allowing them to concentrate on the
forthcoming elections in the South.
Meanwhile,
both parties will believe that they can still milk partisan concessions
from the two Governments. On issues like state funded paramilitary
vigilantism and weakening structures for resolving the parades
issues. And for every concession they get at the expense of the
common good, their appetite will only grow for more.
But
there is no reason why anybody should accept this grim scenario
as a foregone conclusion. There is a better way - and the Governments
deserve some credit for it.
For
the first time in a long time, there have been inclusive all party
talks. Positive progress has been made at a number of levels in
these throughout the summer. Because parties in inclusive talks
face more scrutiny from other parties, they have to work harder
to justify their position. They cannot just completely avoid each
other or duck common challenges.
But
the talks are being held back because the DUP still believes that
the real negotiations in the Autumn will not be with the parties,
but with the British Government. And they are hardly deluded in
that belief - the Government explicitly promised them as much
on the floor of the House of Commons.
The
DUP also believe that they can upend the Agreement’s key
protections. And, again, Government has foolishly made clear that
new legislation changing the Agreement is a given. Yet none of
the DUP’s poorly founded complaints about the Agreement
gave rise to suspension, so why should they be allowed become
preconditions for restoration? And it is hardly as if they are
top of the ordinary unionist’s agenda. Unionists on the
ground want to know that paramilitarism is over – not that
the way the Executive operates has changed.
We
are also being held back by the DUP’s suspicion that the
IRA has not in fact given up criminality – despite successive
reports by the International Monitoring Commission which show
real progress on that front. But to be fair, it’s hardly
surprising that the DUP should have this concern. After all, how
can Sinn Fein be truly against crime if they are not for policing
– and in cases like the murder of Robert McCartney continue
to shield their members from the rule of law?
That’s
why, to achieve restoration on 25 November, there are a few basic
things the Governments must do. First, put it up to the DUP to
work the Agreement’s institutions. Second, put it up to
Sinn Fein to accept policing and the rule of law – now and
without preconditions. Third, make clear that the only concessions
coming to anybody will come from agreement between the parties,
and not as goodies from the Governments to particular parties.
Fourth, to keep on making clear that even if we don’t get
restoration, the Agreement will remain the two Government’s
agenda and they will work together more closely and deeply than
ever before to deliver it. A good place to start is with the proposals
in the SDLP’s North South Makes Sense document.
If
those things are done, clearly and credibly, then we still stand
a good chance of restoration. If they are not, the Governments
may be guilty of failed tactics. But we should not fool ourselves.
Ultimate responsibility will lie with us, the parties of Northern
Ireland and, in particular, those problem parties that have held
up progress for so long. And the ultimate losers will be the people
of the North whom we will have – again - failed to serve.